[关键词]
[摘要]
为了解天水市蔬菜价格的变化趋势,分析价格形势并提出相关对策建议,依据2023年农业农村部中国农业信息网物联网平台对天水市主要蔬菜市场批发日平均价格的实时监测数据,对31种主要蔬菜的市场批发月平均价格及其波动变化情况进行了横向与纵向分析。结果表明,2023年(1 — 12月)31种主要蔬菜的市场批发月平均价格呈现“涨-跌-涨”的变化态势,市场批发年平均价格为6.82元/kg。天水市主要蔬菜的市场批发价格在1 — 3月高位运行,2月份达到最高,4 — 9月价格回落、逐渐开始以低位运行,9月份跌至一年中最低,10月开始缓慢回升。总体来看,季节交替、极端天气、节假日消费群体的变化是影响2023年天水市主要蔬菜价格波动的主要因素。预计2024年,在没有极端天气变化的情况下,天水市主要蔬菜市场价格相对平稳,主要随季节性变化而变化。
[Key word]
[Abstract]
In order to understand the changing trend of vegetable prices in Tianshui City, analyze the price situation and put forward relevant countermeasures and suggestions, based on the real-time monitoring data of the market wholesale daily average prices of major vegetables in Tianshui on the Internet of Things platform of the China Agricultural Information Network of the Ministry of Agriculture and Rural Affairs, this study took 31 main vegetables of Tianshui as the research object, conducting horizontal and vertical analysis of the fluctuations of the market wholesale monthly average prices of various vegetables and different types of vegetables. Results showed that in 2023 (January to December), the market wholesale monthly average prices of 31 major vegetables showed a trend of 'up-down-up', with an annual average wholesale price of 6.82 Yuan/kg. Prices were relatively high from January to March, peaking in February, then declined from April to September, reaching the lowest point in September, and began to rise slowly in October. Overall, seasonal transitions, extreme weather events, and changes in holiday consumer demand were the main factors influencing the vegetable price fluctuations in 2023. It is expected that in 2024, in the absence of extreme weather, the market prices of major vegetables in Tianshui would remain relatively stable, mainly fluctuating with seasonal patterns.
[中图分类号]
F323.7
[基金项目]
甘肃省基础研究计划-软科学专项(22JR4ZE113、24JRZE009);国家大宗蔬菜产业技术体系(CARS-23-G25);天水市软科学研究项目(2022-ZCFGK-7666)。